Catégorie : Non classé

French version published in Alliancy Le Mag – November 2018

On November 16th , Herbert Diess, CEO of Volkswagen, unveiled its strategic plan: 5 years (and 44 billion euros, 10 more than expected a year ago) to become world leader in electric and autonomous cars. With the help of four partners for batteries (which make 49% of the cost of electric cars), and in co-investment with Mobileye (Intel) for autonomous vehicles – the manufacturer plans to launch an autonomous car mobility service in 2019 in Israel.

Herbert Diess thus recognizes, despite the size of the committed budgets, not being able to win alone this race which will define most of the value of its products and which is likely to upset its economic model. However, a month ago at the Paris Motor Show, the Audi stand was one of the few to show autonomous models of level 3, recognizable by sensors in the grille. The sellers however specified that the function is deactivated in France because prohibited.

Is it therefore surprising to see that the companies that today capture the value of autonomous driving technology are the ones that domestic markets encourage? Several cities in the US, China and Israel have signed agreements with manufacturers to offer their fellow citizens the benefits of fleets of robot-taxis. When our public authorities freeze the existing situation by satisfying the lobbies of some historical actors, they do not delay the date of the inevitable. They organize their bankruptcy.

Because our major car makers, busy to improve their products, have not thought useful to release at the appropriate time the necessary resources to finance the unthinkable projects which question the very foundations of their profession: they have indeed all grown thanks to their expertise on engines, and cannot consider a car that would not drive. However, their customers, the drivers, might very well disappear – or mutate – at the same time as the steering wheels. Did they forget Kodak 20 years ago or Nokia 10 years ago, even ToysRUs this year? Even the unthinkable can happen.

The new CEO of Volkswagen acknowledged last month in a flash of late lucidity: “The German car manufacturers may no longer be part of the world’s elite in 10 years.”

As innovation accelerates further and enters our five-year horizons now, strategic plans should all include a disruption hypothesis, without waiting for competition or regulation. And to qualify this hypothesis, a budget “insurance against disruption” is perhaps the right tool to help today’s leaders who, regardless of their sector and without their suspecting, will be threatened tomorrow.

How Robotics pave the way for Autonomous Infrastructures

Passing the bar of 11 billion inhabitants on Earth, a 50% increase from today, represents a huge environmental challenge that will mainly take place in urban areas.

In a sort of paradox, Digital Transformation of Environmental Services is still in its infancy, although upcoming issues – some already there! –  will only be solved thanks to breakthrough technologies, which will in return drastically change the way environmental services are operated in cities, then more globally the way cities are operated, and, at the end of the day, our lifestyle as city dwellers.

The more we wait, the more dramatic the change will be as the clock is ticking.

The fact is that environmental services don’t drive a lot of benefits, are much often considered as commodities, obey strict business rules from public authorities, and work quite well since decades, if not centuries, in developed countries thanks to very stable processes…

All conditions are therefore met for an upcoming massive disruption of the sector.

Let’s go through some weak signals, ie initiatives where using digital technologies helps improving environmental infrastructures operations today, with still a limited impact on existing value chain.

IoT, AI and Robotics are key running technologies in that respect, awaiting coming BioTech and 3D printing, among other technologies that will definitely shake the environmental business.

Water Operations for example are essentially facing two challenges today: Water Stress and Water Quality.

Plants that produce Drinking Water or treat Wastewater have been very much automatized in the last decades, bringing a lot of efficiency in chemical consumption and reduction of emitted pollutants. Those industrial processes are quite similar in their nature to any industrial process, making innovation here straightforward thinking. Their next scale-up will probably go through miniaturization and individualization of processes, as it can be seen already in some European countries, and will for sure disrupt the existing business.

Drinking Water distribution networks, and Wastewater collection systems on the other hand are of a different nature: we easily talk about several thousands of kilometers of pipes for a one million inhabitants’ city, spread over some hundreds of square kilometers. Some pipes are more than a century old, sometimes nobody knows exactly where they are, they often leak, are sometimes blocked, or overflow with heavy rains…They are today the weakest part of the large water cycle.

Leakage can count up to 50% of water losses in poor networks (down to 3% in best networks). They are still quite often manually detected (checking noises), although acoustic signals correlation from microphones bring stunning results (overnight detection and great precision by multiple sensors connected to a telecom network). However this solution based on wide-area IoT and AI is quite expensive, and doesn’t work with any type of pipes. Solutions using only AI and existing sensors (pressure…) are less sophisticated (and cheaper), and are sometimes more accurate than humans. Some are developed by startups who then already pre-empt part of the value historically delivered by the operator.

Considering the characteristic of leaks (slow start/early signals, wide geographic dispersion), Robotics can offer a good tradeoff for better and more accurate leak detection at affordable cost, plus a great potential for leak repair, by a simple but powerful change in measurement concept: moving from Space Sampling/Continuous Time to Time Sampling/Continuous Space.Swarms of autonomous submarine drones can continuously travel and videotape the pipes from the inside, and park sometimes for sending data and charging batteries. Equipped with light, camera and locator system, they can easily compare internal surface of the pipe between two passages and detect when a leak is starting.

Those drones can also be equipped with a robotized arm and a system to repair leaks, and then you come with a self-repairable pipe.

 

This example shows how robots can help making infrastructures autonomous. This new concept – shorten as much as possible the feedback loop – can be applied to any sort of infrastructure, pushing efficiency to its maximum. It also introduces a business risk: the value added by the infrastructure operator can partly shift to the infrastructure itself.

 

Another important characteristic of urban infrastructures is their ability to share information related to a unique context: the city territory. For example, all urban vehicles can contribute to video surveillance thanks to sensors fusion and cameras put on top of all vehicles (Post office, waste collection, busses, cleaning vehicles…) making an extensive footprint in the city. Autonomous vehicles could then be used to maximize the global efficiency of the city across all infrastructures, by marginally automatically modify the trip of any vehicle. The concept can be extended to the use of vehicles dedicated to a given service for another service: for example, reverse logistics (using delivery trucks to bring back some waste materials) is being tested in different places.Autonomous robots, thanks to their versatility, will support the global integration of all infrastructure components of the city, and will call for a unique “City Command Center” that will maximize resources pooling more efficiently than just data pooling.

 

At last, optimal solution to our environmental problems would probably have to involve all stakeholders, including city dwellers. Size of the population being part of the problem, it should be part of the solution. Best existing example is solar electricity in India: individuals buy solar panels thus decentralizing production of electricity and relaxing constraint on the global energy network. Many other examples will come in the coming years, based on availability of personal water treatment units, personal drinking water production units, small urban farm modules, multi task companion robots, autonomous cars and the like. The nature of infrastructures will consequently be altered, from vertical end-to-end service delivery channels to horizontal multi-services platforms whose ownership (public authorities, private companies) is not very clear in the long term.

 

In conclusion, urban environmental services will face major changes when IOT, AI and autonomous robots become massively available. Infrastructures will be made autonomous and versatile, globally managed under a unique city command center that will have to act as a federation of platforms, creating the risk of having both infrastructure operators and public authorities being disrupted.

 

Recent history showed potential impact of poor governance and absence of ethics in the development of new digital businesses and their consequences for citizens. Smart regulation could then make a significant contribution to harmonious, balanced and sustainable development for the urban territories were 70% of human population is going to live.

 

 

Octobre 2018

 

Alain Staron

Innovation Catalyst, AMBORELLA

Member of the Board, ETSI

Former Senior V.P. Digital Strategy, Offers and Partnerships, VEOLIA

 

Alain.staron@amborella.fr

@alainstaron

 

Alain Staron founded Amborella to capitalize on his extensive experience of innovation both in large corporations and in start-ups. Amborella methodology is based on Innovation catalysis by leveraging Ecosystems. Prior to this venture, Alain was in charge of the digital transformation of Veolia. He is also member of the Board at European Telecom Standardization Institute (ETSI). He has had multiple management positions over the course of his career in both start-up structures and large corporations in the sectors of Environment, Smart Things, Urban Mobility, Artificial Intelligence, Media, Telecom, IT and Internet, including Veolia, Transdev, Orange, TF1, Thomson, and Thales.

Alain launched several innovative businesses for large corporations and created, developed and marketed a number of innovative products and services including with his own start-up. He won 2 prizes for Innovation and wrote over 15 patents. Alain is graduate from Ecole Polytechnique, received an engineering degree from Ecole Nationale des Télécommunications, and holds a PhD in Signal Processing.

 

IoT and Data Privacy : Big Bang announced ?

La triple rupture provoquée par les objets connectés dans la production des données personnelles

  • Ils seront très nombreux, chacun de nous pourra être environné par plusieurs dizaines d’objets
    • Nous savons que nous sommes scrutés sur Internet ou via notre téléphone portable : cela nous confère un certain contrôle par le nombre très limité d’objets et d’usages susceptibles de capter nos données, et par la conscience que nous avons de la captation de nos usages.
    • Mais notre compteur électrique, notre voiture, notre montre, notre bracelet, notre balance, notre raquette de tennis, notre brosse à dents, notre miroir de salle de bain, notre bicyclette, notre réfrigérateur, notre tondeuse à gazon, nos ampoules, notre compteur d’eau, nos poubelles, nos lunettes, nos vêtements, peuvent d’ores et déjà nous scruter et capter de nombreuses données : comment appréhender notre « image numérique » qu’ils captent ? Comment savoir ce qu’en font les entreprises qui gèrent ces objets ?
  • Ils captent nos informations personnelles en dehors même de toute action de notre part, presqu’à notre insu et en permanence.
    • Sur Internet ou avec notre téléphone portable, nous sommes acteurs, et ce sont nos actions qui sont captées. Si nous ne faisions rien avec ces outils, si nous éteignons notre téléphone ou notre ordinateur, aucune donnée personnelle nous concernant ne pourrait être captée
    • Notre montre connectée peut capter notre pouls, qui bat indépendamment de notre volonté. Dès que nous portons une telle montre, notre rythme cardiaque, donnée s’il en est personnelle, est capté en permanence, à notre insu (ce n’est qu’en découvrant telle ou telle application que nous constatons la masse de données captée par ces montres). La plupart des objets connectés ne peuvent pas être débranchés (compteurs…) et captent donc nos données en permanence.
  • Les données personnelles qu’ils captent peuvent être extrêmement sophistiquées, voire très sensibles (santé), et les objectifs de leurs traitements échapper à la compréhension du commun des mortels.
    • Internet ou notre téléphone portable captent des données liées à l’usage que nous en faisons, qui sont utilisées pour améliorer ledit usage que nous avons de ces mêmes objets.
    • Quels paramètres biologiques sont captés par les objets dédiés à la santé connectée, quels paramètres de conduite sont captés par les voitures, et comment ces données viennent influencer notre mutuelle de santé ou notre compagnie d’assurance automobile, voire tout autre type d’acteur ?